Assignment title: Information
Estimating Probabilities: Availability Bias
One of the biases that has been proposed by Kahneman and Tversky and
researched a great deal is the Availability bias. What is the Availability bias?
How might it play a role in the decision in SLP 2? Consider that the
estimated probabilities for both of the High NPV future states are relatively
high (0.50 and 0.75). How could the Availability bias be at work here? How
could using objective data analysis like frequency distributions mitigate the
effect of the Availability bias?
Week 1: Provide your initial discussion post to the question. Be sure to
include references to any resources you used. You should use at least one
resource to help you with your initial discussion.
Week 2: Respond to at least two of your classmates' initial posts. Your
response should be substantive and further the discussion. It is OK to be
critical and use critical thinking. That means you can question what your
classmates say. Do they provide their own critical thinking and logic?