Assignment title: Information
Regression examples that we have seen included explanatory variables such as
income, price of the good, prices of related goods, and geographic area. Assume that
you have been asked to forecast demand for your company's new product, signature t-
shirts. What explanatory variables would you initially include (and test) to forecast
domestic sales? What impact would you expect each of them to have on demand?
Would you include anything different if you were asked to forecast international sales? If
so, what would be different? Why?
Regression analysis is a statistical tool for the investigation of relationships between
variables (Keat, Young, & Erfle, 2013). Its purpose is to ascertain the causal effect of
one variable upon another (Keat, Young, & Erfle, 2013). These explanatory variables
include "income, price of the resource, price of related goods, and geographic area"
(Keat, Young, & Erfle, 2013).
Assuming I was forecasting demand for my company's new signature t-shirts, the
variables I would use to forecast domestic sales would all try to predict the market
potential of the t-shirts. The first variables that the t-shirt would encounter would be
1)What product line to pursue? (which t-shirt would sell)
2)How much to spend on production?
3)Which method to use for production?
4)How to promote and advertise our t-shirt?
5)How to put the t-shirt in market place to meet projected demand?
The variable of which product line to pursue would end up determining the quality of
resources used to produce, proportionately affecting price. That leads us to how much
to spend on production. Assuming the lower end and higher end t-shirts could be made
by the same production method and cost exactly the same, a higher quality more
expensive thread would demand additional expenditure for t-shirt design, in essence
determine how/what it needs to look like to be successful in the higher or designer-end
boutique t-shirt market.
Now there's an expensive t-shirt made out of exceptional quality resources designed by
expensive fashion designers. This leads us to our final variable=
promotion/advertisement and how to get the t-shirt into the marketplace. The answer is
the same. The t-shirt would be given to the "hippest" or "coolest" people for free with no
expectations. Allow for "hype" to develop about its design or quality uniqueness and
how "everyone who is anyone" has one and it's the "it thing" to have. Then announce a
major release date in NY, LA, San Francisco, and Chicago only and open up the
business to the "golden calf" of pre-orders.
International sales would be the natural next step in the evolution of the product.
Nonetheless, the pre-order's closed out at 10,000 shirts and no more would be sold in
the U.S. until the next release, overflowing the market with the shirts would make them
commonplace and lose their niche value and raising the price would also take them out
of cultural milieu. The international market responds to what sells in the U.S. and often
for a very steep mark up. Its really not different at all, the beauty of it is that the
advertisement/marketing does not need to be paid for in the international release, the
"cool" trend setters change minds and hearts globally. The "it" thing to have, for
example, Apple phones, don't require Apple to advertise in the Middle East. Word of
Mouth gets around